Post #577: No inflection point yet for Virginia, REVISED

I just checked the mid-day numbers from the Hopkins coronavirus map, and even with incomplete data, that’s enough to say that Virginia has not yet hit an inflection point in case counts.  As of this update there are 124 cases in Fairfax county.  That’s up from 80 yesterday.  (That may exclude a few cases in the independent cities of Fairfax and Falls Church.)

As of 6:30 PM EDT, the Fairfax case count remains at 124.  Commonwealth count was up by about 10.  When you get right down to it, those numbers are not likely to be real.  It may have reached the point where the daily reporting is starting to lag. I’ll try to refresh this later this PM, but where the counts come in on a flow basis, if the flow is irregular, there’s not a lot you can do to present an accurate time-series.  I will note that, just a couple of days ago, I had to roll back my update from 5pm to 6pm.  I suspect that process is continuing.