Post #734: New case counts remain stable in Virginia

Count of daily new COVID-19 cases in Virginia, reported through 6/29/2020.

Source:  Analysis of new case counts from the Virginia Department of Health.

I keep reading popular press accounts that place Virginia among the states where new cases are increasing.  I think those writers must be looking at the day-to-day random variations, or something, then cherry-picking the days when the case counts are up.

And so, the only point of this posting is to say that if you’ve read the count of daily new cases is up in Virginia, you’ve read something misleading.  It’s just not so.  Not so far, anyway.

You do have to wonder whether there will be spillover to Virginia, from the states where cases are currently spiking.  I went looking for information on typical inter-state travel patterns — to try to guess how many people from FL, TX, and AZ were likely to visit Virginia on any given day — but failed.

So, as with so much of this pandemic, all we can do is wait and see.  We’ll get there when we get there.