This post looks at Virginia Department of Health information on outbreaks of COVID-19 in K-12 schools in Virginia. Virginia not only tracks total outbreaks in schools, in most cases, it allows you to check on-line regarding the progress of an outbreak in an individual school. Links given below. Continue reading Post #1233: Introduction to Virginia data on school outbreaks of COVID-19, a quick note.
Yesterday, there was a little uptick in the numbers that I didn’t expect to see. Today, the message in the tea leaves appears much clearer. Enough so that I’m going to jump to a conclusion based on two days’ deviation from trend.
It’s starting to look like we can toss my prediction about the path of the Delta wave into the trash. But the upside is that we can do that for a very specific reason: School is back in session.
Even if that’s right — if this current little uptick in cases is a back-to-school uptick — it’s not yet clear the extent to which that reflects more actual infections, or merely more screening, testing, and discovery of infections. That’s what I’ll try to look at next.
Continue reading Post #1229: COVID-19 trend to 9/1/2021, back-to-school uptick
