Today is probably the last time I’ll show the trends with and without Texas (and LA and AR). At this point, the (seven-day moving average of) Texas data reporting appears to have recovered fully, and it’s only distorting the historical data.
If you include Texas (and LA and AR), cases are rising at a rate of about 4%/week starting 2/21/2021. But that reflects the data reporting outage in Texas (and surrounding areas) due to the mid-February cold wave. And then the recovery from that outage.
If you exclude TX, LA, AR, you find that cases have been falling about 4%week, starting 2/21/2021. That’s almost certainly a more accurate picture of the underlying trend. Continue reading Post #1036, new COVID-19 cases trending down slowly, ex-Texas