Post #1011: No change in trend

Posted on February 16, 2021

What appears to be a slight steepening of the curve today is probably due to the handful of states whose offices closed for Presidents’ Day.

Otherwise, if we’re reaching the end of the U.S. pandemic via herd immunity, it must be too soon to tell.  On the other hand, if we’re reaching the fourth wave of the U.S. pandemic via the U.K. variant, it must be too soon to tell.

Because, the fact is, cases continue to decline in a more-or-less straight-line fashion, 20-ish percent per week.

Still looking forward to that explosion of cases from Super Bowl parties.  We know that has to happen because experts warned us about it.  That ought to start showing up around Friday or so.  Or not.