Approaching normality at a rate of 12 percent per week now, for the U.S. as a whole (bottom line, inset, second graph).
Source: Calculated from NY Times Github COVID-19 data repository, data reported through 3/5/2021. Continue reading Post #1046: New cases now down 76% from the peak
To understand the methods here, look for prior posts using the Helix corporation data to track the U.K. coronavirus variant.
This information is updated weekly by the Helix Corporation. Data sourced from the Helix® COVID-19 Surveillance Dashboard. Accessed at Helix.com/covid19db on 3/5/2021.
Briefly: By their data, B.1.1.7 now accounts for 42% of Florida COVID-19 cases (42.49% as of 3/3/2021) and 27% of U.S. cases (27.03% as of 3/4/2021), per their Daily Percent SGTF of Positive Samples table. Continue reading Post #1045: Update on the U.K. variant B.1.1.7 in the US
The US fell slightly below 20 new COVID-19 cases per 100,000 persons per day.
Otherwise, there is no material change from yesterday. The majority of states continue to see small day-to-day reductions in new cases. The Northeast as a whole does not, due mainly to New York and New Jersey. By contrast, large reductions in new case counts continue unabated in California.
If I were to start a new calculation, from the point at which Texas’ data reporting had recovered fully (2/27/2021), the results would look like the box in the first graph. The Northeast is stalled, California is not, and all other regions fall in-between. Continue reading Post #1041: Trend to 3/3/2021, and the curious case of the British lockdown.
Source: Clipart-library.com
Putting aside for a moment the New York COVID-19 variant (which people claim is more contagious, a seemingly plausible claim based on the new-case trend in New York state),
and ignoring the California COVID-19 variant (which ditto, but if so, it’s surely not affecting the new case trend there, as California has the largest rate of decline of new COVID-19 cases in the nation),
and just forgetting about the South African variant as not being common enough in the U.S. yet,
(and fill in other variants at will here, because you’ve got plenty to choose from),
The granddaddy of COVID-19 variant problems for the U.S. is the U.K. variant, B.1.1.7. Continue reading Post #1040: U.K. variant: The fuse remains lit. Keep your eyes on Florida.