Post #1352: Winter wave, still stalled

Posted on December 16, 2021

For the U.S. as a whole, the winter wave has stalled. 

Data source for this and other graphs of new case counts:  Calculated from The New York Times. (2021). Coronavirus (Covid-19) Data in the United States. Retrieved 1216/2021, from”  The NY Times U.S. tracking page may be found at

The Northeast remains the only region that is solidly in a winter wave of COVID-19 cases.  Rhode Island topped 100 new COVID-19 cases / 100K population / day today.  It’s just one of several Northeast states with high and rising case counts.

In the Midwest, only Wisconsin stands out for having a high and rising case count.  Several other states have high current counts, but those counts are either stable or falling.  That’s consistent with the picture above, which suggests that the region as a whole has peaked.

The Mountain states appear to be truly past their winter peak. All states but Nevada now have falling case counts.

The rest of the country isn’t doing much at all.

Here’s a table sorted by region and descending current daily new case rate.  I’ve highlighted states with high and rising counts.