Post #1423: COVID-19 trend to 2/2/2022, decline still slowly accelerating

Posted on February 3, 2022

The U.S. stands at 120 new COVID-19 cases per 100K population per day, down 34 percent in the past week.  Cases have now fallen by more than 50 percent since the 1/16/2022 peak of the Omicron wave.

 

Data source for this and other graphs of new case counts:  Calculated from The New York Times. (2021). Coronavirus (Covid-19) Data in the United States. Retrieved 2/3/2022, from https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data.”  The NY Times U.S. tracking page may be found at https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html

At this point, I’ve run out of novel ways to say “new case counts are falling”.

That said, good news is under-reported.  So let me toss in a few statistics on hospitals and hospitalizations.

New hospitalizations are falling.  Percentage-wise, they haven’t fallen quite as much as new cases:

Source:  Calculated from US DHHS unified hospital dataset.

Concerns about critical hospital staff shortages are receding.  As interesting, fewer and fewer hospitals are even bothering to answer the question.

Source:  Calculated from US DHHS unified hospital dataset.

The number of states where COVID-19 cases account for 30% or more of all ICU beds is now rapidly declining.

Source:  Calculated from US DHHS unified hospital dataset.