Post #1535: COVID-19 trend to 6/13/2022, still at 32/100K/day.

Posted on June 14, 2022

 

The official count of daily new COVID-19 cases rounds to 32, roughly the same as it was three weeks ago.  The weekly-percent-change numbers are meaningless due to the final echoes of the Memorial Day holiday.

Data source for this and other graphs of new case counts:  Calculated from The New York Times. (2021). Coronavirus (Covid-19) Data in the United States. Retrieved 6/14/2022, from https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data.”  The NY Times U.S. tracking page may be found at https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html

Although this peak seems to be taking forever to form, I’m pretty sure it is, in fact, a peak.   That’s because the Northeast has been a few weeks ahead of the U.S. for the COVID-II (BA.2.12.1) wave, and that region continues to show a more-or-less perfect peak formation.  Unless there’s some new development that somehow skipped the Northeast, then it remains a bellwether for the rest of the country.

 

Per the CDC COVID data tracker, COVID deaths remain below 300 per day, and COVID new hospitalizations remain around 4000 per day.