The U.S. now stands at 16 new COVID-19 cases per 100K population per day, down one from the end of last week.
Deaths remain around 350 per day, heavily concentrated among the oldest old.
Hospitalizations are now around 3700 per day. That’s down by about 1000 in the past month, and 2000 in the past two months.
The situation continues to improve slowly. The big unknown now is whether there will be a winter wave, as there was in the past two years.
Data source for this and other graphs of new case counts: Calculated from The New York Times. (2021). Coronavirus (Covid-19) Data in the United States. Retrieved 9/28/2022, from https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data.” The NY Times U.S. tracking page may be found at https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
CDC data still (9/28/2022) show just over 4.3 million people having received the new (bivalent) vaccine. So it looks like recent vaccination is going to play next-to-no role in avoiding a winter 2022-23 wave.
