Post #1639, COVID-19 still 13/day, maybe an East/West split?

Posted on November 20, 2022

 

And, as of today, the U.S. is at 13 new COVID-19 cases / 100K / day, more-or-less the same as it has been for the past three weeks.  There’s a visible upward trend for most of the Mountain states.  And maybe the current pattern of increases and decreases mirrors the weather we were having a couple of weeks ago, with a very warm East and a fairly cold West.  (Recall that the seven-day-moving average reported today reflects infections that were occurring about two weeks ago, on average.)

Finally, data reporting has gotten so sketchy that I had to write a new algorithm to gap-fill the periods over which states fail to report.  Nobody ever cares about the statistical methods, but I figured I should state it.  In most cases, the new case counts with the new method will differ only slightly from what I was showing under the old method.

 

Data source for this and other graphs of new case counts:  Calculated from The New York Times. (2021). Coronavirus (Covid-19) Data in the United States. Retrieved 11/20/2022, from https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data.”  The NY Times U.S. tracking page may be found at https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html