Post #1083: COVID-19 trend, fourth U.S. wave

Posted on March 30, 2021

I’ve rebased all the numbers to use 3/23/2021 as the starting point.  By eye, that’s the start of the U.S. fourth wave of COVID-19.  If we take that as the starting point, then daily new COVID-19 cases are up 20% so far, and are rising at the rate of about 24 percent per week.

Trying to look on the bright side, it gets boring having to blog about good news.  Bad news, by contrast, pretty much writes itself.

Here are the national tables, followed by the six regional tables.

In theory, this is supposed to be driven by the new, more-infectious variants.  But as far as I can tell, there’s more to it than that.  There are significant increases in cases in lots of states where it’s just not plausible to suggest a high incidence of these new variants.  Either that, or they have managed to slip past, unnoticed by the U.S. CDC.