Post #1447: COVID-19 trend to 3/1/2022, better here than elsewhere.

Posted on March 2, 2022

 

New U.S. COVID-19 cases continue to decline, but at a slower rate.  As of today, the U.S. stands at 18 new COVID-19 cases per 100K population per day, down 28% in the past week.  That contrasts to a 42% weekly rate of decline just one week ago.

Data source for this and other graphs of new case counts:  Calculated from The New York Times. (2021). Coronavirus (Covid-19) Data in the United States. Retrieved 3/1/2022, from https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data.”  The NY Times U.S. tracking page may be found at https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html

Even with that slowdown, the U.S. seems to be faring better than most nations that had a significant Omicron wave.

Source:  Johns Hopkins data, via Google search.

 In Australia, for example, new case rates haven’t declined materially for about the past three weeks. Their current new case rate works out to be 81 / 100K / day.

In the U.K. new cases have begun rising again.  No clue whether that’s a fluke or the start of something new.  Their current new case rate works out to be 87 / 100K / day.

Canada (not shown) is currently around 16 / 100K / day, but declines have stalled.  New cases are actually up slightly in the past week.

Denmark and Norway (not shown).  Recall that they started their Omicron waves before the U.S., but just don’t even go there.  Cases are declining now in both countries, but the current rates work out to be about 350 / 100K / day in Denmark, and 230 / 100K / day in Norway.

In that context, in the U.S., with 18 / 100K / day and still falling fairly rapidly, things look pretty good.  Hope it keeps up for a while yet.