Post #1577: COVID-19, stalled at 28 new cases per 100K per day

Posted on August 30, 2022

 

The daily new case count is 28 new cases per 100K population per day, up one from the end of last week.

Hospitalizations are at just below 5000 per day, down a bit from last week.  Deaths are just below 400 per day, unchanged from last week.

Data source for this and other graphs of new case counts:  Calculated from The New York Times. (2021). Coronavirus (Covid-19) Data in the United States. Retrieved 8/30/2022, from https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data.”  The NY Times U.S. tracking page may be found at https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html

The only interesting thing about the trend (or lack thereof) is that we’re starting to see some dispersion of trends across regions.  Above, if the set of trends were a rope, I’d say the end of the rope is starting to unravel.

In the past, that dispersion of trends across regions usually signaled a change in direction.  And that would be a pity, because, again, based on the past, fall is when case counts began building toward a winter wave.  In other words, in the Northern Hemisphere, seasonality is running against us now.

 

Internationally, things are starting to look more nearly uniform.  Australia and New Zealand peaked last month.  Japan and North Korea peaked a few weeks ago.  And otherwise, trends have been pretty much flat across all the continents.

Source:  Our world in data.