Post #1608, COVID-19, still falling

Posted on October 11, 2022

 

The U.S. stands at 12 new COVID-19 cases per 100K population per day, same as it was at the end of last week.  That said, the new case rate continues a steady decline — it has just reached the point where it takes several days to reduce the (rounded) count by one.

You should probably take today’s numbers with a grain of salt.  Many states did not report new data today, owing to yesterday’s Federal holiday.  A few days from now, we should have a better idea of whether or not the U.S. Omicron wave is continuing to fade.

Data source for this and other graphs of new case counts:  Calculated from The New York Times. (2021). Coronavirus (Covid-19) Data in the United States. Retrieved 10/11/2022, from https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data.”  The NY Times U.S. tracking page may be found at https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html

Deaths are still around 350 a day, hospitalizations are still around 3400 a day.


Flu!  The musical.

Below is a U.S. map showing the extent of influenza, for the first week of October, for the past ten years.  Red is bad.

Guess which one is 2022.

Source:  Tedious cut-and-paste from the CDC FluView weekly U.S. map page.

I seem to be reading a lot of scary news coverage about this year’s flu season.  I tend to dismiss it because it’s still too early for flu.  In a normal season, that is.

But, objectively, above, it does appear that this is shaping up to be an abnormal flu season.  It’s certainly abnormally early.  It’s a fair guess that it’s going to be abnormally bad.

Probably not a good year to skip the flu shot.